Recently, Microsoft announced their Origami initiative, and analysts jumped at the devices, calling them a strike of genius et al. Generic PDA’s are doomed, one OS to rule them all, a genius idea, blah blah blah…
Buddha said that the time is a bad teacher as it kills its pupils, and indeed, the Origami already existed a few years ago when DOS was hip. HP had a pack of boxen that were similar to today’s Nokia Communicators, and many other companies produced look-alikes. However, the Psion, the Palm, et al killed them off rather fast.
If you think of an origami device, you will immediately see that it exists under extreme power and space concerns. A notebook is spacey compared to such a box, and notebooks usually are slower than high-end desktop boxen.
In addition to the hardware limitations, the physical size limit makes using big screens impossible. This makes high resolutions unusable, and thus, you basically are stuck with XGA or SVGA. If you ever tried to get serious work done with Windows XP under XGA, you will know what I am talking about…
Last but not least, PC applications are designed for an entirely different kind of use. If Outlook takes 10 seconds to start on a desktop box, this is ok-I want to use the app for a very long time. But imagine having to wait for Outlook while wanting to jot sth down while chatting to sb on the go…
Overall, the origami will be cool-for a few months. But on the long run, applications will outgrow the existing hardware and users will get annoyed. The show will eventually end…for a few years. History tends to repeat itself….
What do you think?